Global warming, or global climate change, is of particular importance not only because of its high enough intensity, but also because 95% of it is the result of human activity since the middle of the 20th century. According to experts, an annual increase in average temperature by 0.04 ° C could reduce GDP per capita by 7.22% by 2100. According to forecasts, by 2050, the volume of global GDP will decline by at least 3%.

Over the past 40 years, the planet has lost about 33% of arable land due to climate change and increasing levels of pollution. More than 1.3 billion people whose lives are connected with agriculture and depend on it live on lands that are constantly losing their fertility. This increases the risk of hunger and increased poverty among the population employed in agriculture.

Taking into account the above, the role of individual regions in the overall picture of global climate change is of particular importance and the Central Asian region is no exception. The geographical position of the Republic of Uzbekistan, as well as the scale of the agricultural sector of the state, place climate change in the category of special conditions in maintaining the sustainable development of Uzbekistan.

This project was carried out with the aid and support of UNDP Uzbekistan. The aim of this research project was to:

(1)   Conduct an intensive review of related research on the impact of climate change on agriculture;

(2)   Conduct assessment of climate change in Ferghana valley and identify key trends and conditions;

(3)   Quantitatively analyze the effect of climate change on the agriculture sector of Ferghana valley based on existing macro-regional data;

(4)   Qualitatively assess the effect of climate change on horticulture sector of Ferghana valley based on focus group discussions;

(5)   Develop policy suggestions aimed at ensuring sustainable development of horticulture sector in the region.